📈 US stocks approach historical highs - multiple factors boost market rebound

📈 US stocks approach historical highs - multiple factors boost market rebound
New York, June 6, 2025 - US stocks continued to rise this week, and major indexes have approached historical highs. Investors have paid close attention to key economic data this week, Federal Reserve policy expectations and Sino-US trade negotiations, and risk appetite has significantly increased.

🔍 Main driving factors
Employment data sends positive signals
Non-farm jobs increased by 139,000 in June, slightly higher than expected, and the unemployment rate remained stable at 4.2%. This shows that the labor market is strong and provides solid support for the stock market.

Sino-US trade negotiations continue to heat up
The market is optimistic about the new round of trade consultations that will be launched in London, and believes that trade tensions will not ease in the long term and will release growth potential.

Technology stocks drive the overall rise
Technology giants such as Apple, Nvidia, and Tesla have become the main leaders of the rise. The Nasdaq once rose by more than 1%, driving the overall market to rebound.

📊 Index performance at a glance
Index Current level Distance from historical highs
S&P 500 ~6000 points Only 3% away from the February record
Dow Jones +1% up
Nasdaq +1.2% up Technology sector leads gains
⚠️ Risks and concerns
Inflation has not yet been fully alleviated
Despite a solid job market, wage growth remains high (3.9% year-on-year), and as China-US tariffs may continue to push up import costs, inflation risks remain significant.

Fed’s divergent stance
Against the backdrop of a stable unemployment rate and improved employment, while investors are betting on two rate cuts this year, they are also concerned that the Fed may maintain a cautious tone due to substandard inflation.

Declining consumer confidence
Michigan’s consumer confidence index plummeted to 50.8, a low in recent years, and consumers’ pessimistic expectations for the future economy contrast sharply with the stock market boom.

🔭 Is it an optimistic recovery or a high-level shock?
The market is currently in a delicate "mixed" stage: employment and listed companies' financial reports performed well, and there are obvious signs of market recovery; but inflation is still there, high tariffs are still there, and consumer confidence is low - these uncertainties may constrain the stock market.

Later this week, the United States will release the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May, which will be one of the most important macro data releases for the market this month. Investors will pay close attention to whether inflation shows signs of recovery, so as to judge the feasibility of the Fed's path to cut interest rates at the end of the year.

 If the market further digests the positive signals in the inflation report and trade negotiations, the US stock market is likely to break through the high point of the year in the short term; but if inflation rebounds or trade negotiations are difficult to break through, the market may also usher in a shock correction. The key at present is still - the CPI data in the next two days and the progress of Sino-US negotiations - once the direction is unclear, the market may quickly return to a cautious mood.

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