“Iran–Israel Conflict Deepens: Iran’s ‘New Method’ Missile Strikes on Tel Aviv & Haifa, Trump Vetoes Killing of Khamenei, G7 Urges Unity Amid Oil Price Surge”

Key Points

• It seems likely that on June 16, 2025, Iran launched missile strikes on Tel Aviv and Haifa, causing significant casualties and damage.

• Research suggests Israel retaliated by targeting Iranian military sites, escalating the conflict.

• The evidence leans toward global concern, with G7 leaders prioritizing de-escalation and oil prices rising due to tensions.

• There is some controversy over exact casualty figures, with reports varying between sources.

Overview

On June 16, 2025, Iran and Israel engaged in a series of missile strikes, marking a significant escalation in their ongoing conflict. This event has drawn international attention, with leaders and markets reacting to the developments.

Casualties and Damage

The strikes resulted in at least 8 deaths and numerous injuries in Israel from the overnight attacks, with a total of 23 casualties reported since Friday. In Iran, at least 224 people have been killed, predominantly civilians. Damage included destroyed residential buildings in Tel Aviv and fires at a power plant near Haifa's port.

Retaliation and Escalation

Israel responded by striking Iranian military targets, including nuclear facilities, which has heightened tensions. This retaliation is part of a broader conflict that began earlier in the week, now in its fourth day.

Global Reaction and Economic Impact

The conflict has prompted significant global concern, with G7 leaders meeting to address the situation and focus on de-escalation and preventing nuclear proliferation. Economic impacts are evident, with oil prices rising in response to the escalating tensions, reflecting market anxiety.

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Survey Note: Detailed Analysis of Iran-Israel Conflict on June 16, 2025

On June 16, 2025, at 12:33 AM PDT, the Iran-Israel conflict escalated with significant missile strikes, drawing widespread attention due to its implications for regional stability and global markets. This report provides a comprehensive overview of the events, drawing from multiple reputable sources to ensure accuracy and depth.

Event Timeline and Locations

The conflict intensified early on June 16, 2025, with Iran launching missile strikes on Tel Aviv and Haifa before dawn, with alerts sounding at approximately 4 a.m. (0100 GMT). These strikes targeted densely populated areas, including residential zones and critical infrastructure, such as an oil refinery and power grid in Israel.

Casualties and Human Impact

The immediate impact in Israel was severe, with reports indicating 8 deaths from the overnight strikes, distributed as follows: 3 in Haifa, 1 in Bnei Brak, and 4 in Petah Tikva. This brought the total number of deaths in Israel since the conflict began on Friday to 23, with at least 10 people hospitalized in Tel Aviv alone. The strikes caused significant damage, including the destruction of several residential buildings in Tel Aviv, with windows blown out near the U.S. Embassy (minor damage, no injuries to personnel), and near the Shuk HaCarmel market. In Haifa, around 30 people were wounded, and fires broke out at a power plant near the port, with search and location operations underway.

In Iran, the toll was equally devastating, with at least 224 people killed since hostilities began, 90% of whom were civilians, and 1,277 hospitalized. Civilian impact extended beyond military targets, with reports of residents fleeing Tehran and long lines at gas stations, indicating widespread disruption. In the Palestinian village of Tamra, 4 individuals—Manar Khatib, Shatha, Hala, and Manar Diab—were killed, highlighting the conflict's reach into civilian areas, where only 40% have access to shelters and no public bunkers are available.

Israeli Retaliation and Military Actions

Israel's response was swift and targeted, with the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) striking Revolutionary Guard and Iran's military command centers. Specific targets included the Natanz and Fordow nuclear sites, as well as Quds Force command centers in Tehran. These strikes resulted in the death of the IRGC intelligence chief and commander Hossein Salami, who was replaced by General Ahmed Vahidi. Israel's Defence Minister, Israel Katz, warned that "the residents of Tehran will pay the price, and soon," signaling a potential for further escalation. The operation was reported to take "weeks, not days," with implicit U.S. approval, though U.S. President Donald Trump vetoed an Israeli plan to kill Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

The feasibility of destroying Iran's nuclear program was noted, with challenges highlighted due to the depth of facilities like Fordow (80-90m deep, beyond the reach of U.S. GBU-57 bombs at ~60m), as detailed in a report by the Royal United Services Institute .

Global Reaction and Diplomatic Efforts

The international community has expressed significant concern, with the Group of Seven (G7) leaders beginning their summit in the Canadian Rockies on Sunday, June 15, 2025, prioritizing the Israel-Iran conflict. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz outlined goals including ensuring Iran does not develop or possess nuclear weapons, ensuring Israel's right to defend itself, avoiding further escalation, and creating room for diplomacy . U.S. involvement included military assistance in shooting down Iranian missiles headed toward Israel, with Trump expressing hope for a deal while acknowledging the need for conflict resolution, stating, "Sometimes they have to fight it out."

Nuclear negotiations between Iran and the U.S., due last Sunday, were scrapped after Tehran refused to negotiate while under attack. Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian told parliament on Monday that Iran has no intention to produce nuclear weapons but will pursue nuclear energy and research, adding another layer to diplomatic efforts.

Economic and Social Implications

The economic fallout has been immediate, with Brent crude futures rising 0.5% in Asian trade on June 16, 2025, to $74.94 a barrel, following a 7% surge the previous week .

Detailed Casualty and Impact Table

To organize the data, here is a table summarizing the casualties and impacts:

Location	Casualties (Deaths)	Injuries	Specific Impacts
Tel Aviv	4 (overnight, June 16)	At least 10 hospitalized	Destroyed residential buildings, damage near U.S. Embassy, near Shuk HaCarmel market
Haifa	3 (overnight, June 16)	Around 30	Fires at power plant near port, search and location operations underway
Bnei Brak	1 (overnight, June 16)	Not specified	Residential street hit
Petah Tikva	4 (overnight, June 16)	Not specified	Residential area affected
Iran	At least 224 (since Friday)	1,277 hospitalized	Majority civilians, Tehran residents fleeing, long lines at gas stations
Tamra (Palestinian village)	4 (specific names: Manar Khatib, Shatha, Hala, Manar Diab)	Not specified	40% have shelters, no public bunkers

This table encapsulates the human cost and specific impacts, providing a clear overview for analysis.

Conclusion

The events of June 16, 2025, represent a critical juncture in the Iran-Israel conflict, with significant casualties, military retaliation, and global diplomatic efforts. The economic implications, particularly in oil markets, underscore the broader impact on global stability. Continued monitoring and diplomatic engagement will be crucial to prevent further escalation.

Key Citations

• Iran lauds new method as missiles hit Israel's Tel Aviv, Haifa

• Israel and Iran broaden attacks as conflict enters fourth day

• Iran's latest strikes on Tel Aviv, Haifa kill at least five

• German Chancellor urges G7 show unity tackling Israel-Iran conflict

• Trump vetoed an Israeli plan to kill Iran's Supreme Leader

• Oil prices rise as Israel-Iran conflict heightens fears of supply disruptions

• Challenges Involved in Military Strikes Against Iran's Nuclear Programme

• Israel-Iran: Tamra shelters highlight disparity

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